Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
ITA
1 - 0
MAR
77%
17%
7%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
SCG
1 - 1
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2001 |
KOR
1 - 1
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 0
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 5
FRA
15%
26%
60%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 4
ANG
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
LBY
2 - 4
ZAM
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CMR
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
LSO
1 - 2
ZAM
9%
20%
71%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
TOG
3 - 2
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |