Morocco vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CGO
71%
20%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZIM
68%
20%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 1
BEN
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
KEN
75%
18%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
URU
50%
24%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
URU
3 - 3
CRC
65%
20%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
OMA
0 - 3
URU
12%
21%
68%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
KSA
1 - 1
URU
12%
21%
67%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
KOR
0 - 1
URU
25%
25%
51%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |