Morocco vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
61%
18%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYR
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
SUI
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
MAR
3 - 1
ROU
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
61%
18%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
SUN
2 - 0
ITA
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
SUN
1 - 1
HUN
25%
21%
54%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1963 |
FIN
0 - 4
SUN
32%
22%
47%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1963 |
SUN
7 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |