Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAN
3 - 1
MAR
18%
27%
54%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
RSA
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
19%
26%
56%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
TUN
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |