Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
CMR
43%
27%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
UGA
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
TAN
75%
17%
7%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CTA
0 - 0
MAR
6%
18%
76%
|
87 | 13 | 74 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
GEO
62%
23%
15%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 2
CIV
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
73%
19%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
EUS
0 - 2
TUN
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUN
33%
28%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUN
2 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |