Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 0
SOM
78%
14%
8%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
MAR
0 - 1
SUN
17%
28%
55%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1985 |
MAR
1 - 0
IND
76%
17%
8%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1985 |
LBY
0 - 0
MAR
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
MAR
3 - 2
CAN
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1985 |
TUN
4 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
7%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1985 |
TUN
1 - 0
KSA
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1985 |
TUN
2 - 0
NGA
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1985 |
NGA
1 - 0
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |