Morocco vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
SYR
69%
16%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
MAR
1 - 0
SUI
59%
18%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1962 |
MAR
3 - 1
ROU
50%
20%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
61%
18%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ROU
4 - 0
MAR
53%
20%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SEN
1 - 1
TUN
49%
21%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
2 - 1
MAD
76%
13%
11%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
COD
1 - 0
TUN
48%
21%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
2 - 0
CGO
73%
14%
12%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1963 |
TUN
3 - 1
CIV
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |