Morocco vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CIV
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAN
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
JOR
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 0
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
STP
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
4%
|
64 | 15 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
2 - 0
MOZ
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOG
1 - 0
UGA
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOG
5 - 0
DJI
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LBR
2 - 2
TOG
28%
24%
47%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |