Morocco vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
CIV
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
20%
28%
51%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOG
2 - 1
GAB
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
TOG
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 0
KEN
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
COD
2 - 0
TOG
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBY
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |