Morocco vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
BEN
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
NGA
0 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
NGA
4 - 0
RSA
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 0
BEN
78%
15%
6%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 1
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MUS
2 - 0
RSA
9%
18%
74%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TUN
2 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |