Morocco vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
RWA
3 - 1
MAR
18%
29%
53%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
MTN
1 - 4
MAR
4%
19%
77%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 4
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
GHA
2 - 0
MAR
30%
28%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
GUI
3 - 2
MAR
19%
26%
56%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
RWA
3 - 1
MAR
18%
29%
53%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
RWA
3 - 0
MTN
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
BDI
0 - 0
RWA
25%
24%
52%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
4 - 2
RWA
55%
22%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
0 - 1
RWA
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |