Morocco vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
65.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIV
28%
26%
45%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
TOG
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NED
1 - 2
ITA
55%
23%
23%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BGR
2 - 0
NED
15%
21%
64%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NED
5%
15%
80%
|
92 | 44 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
NED
1 - 1
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
NED
0 - 1
FRA
49%
24%
26%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | -1 |