Morocco vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
CTA
0 - 2
MAR
6%
18%
75%
|
87 | 36 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
CTA
92%
7%
1%
|
87 | 36 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
COD
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 1
SEN
58%
24%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUI
10%
17%
74%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
GUI
1 - 0
CHA
84%
12%
5%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CPV
1 - 2
GUI
30%
25%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |