Morocco vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
MAR
14%
25%
60%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTN
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
ALG
59%
23%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
GAB
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
MLI
2 - 2
GUI
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
SEN
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 3
CHI
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
GUI
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |