Morocco vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MTN
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
KOR
1 - 3
MAR
58%
24%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
GAB
65%
22%
13%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 0
MAR
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 2
SDN
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
COD
3 - 1
GUI
47%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 4
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2017 |
LBY
1 - 0
GUI
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
3 - 2
LBY
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |