Morocco vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
CIV
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
1 - 1
MAR
20%
28%
51%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
SEN
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
0 - 1
MAR
10%
22%
69%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GUI
2 - 3
EGY
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ZIM
0 - 1
GUI
31%
27%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
CMR
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
0 - 0
GUI
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 1
GUI
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |