Morocco vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
CGO
0 - 6
MAR
10%
22%
68%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZAM
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
MTN
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
ANG
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
RSA
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
GAB
3 - 2
GAM
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAB
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
SEN
3 - 0
GAB
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
1 - 2
GAB
23%
24%
54%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |