Morocco vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
LBY
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ALG
0 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
33%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NIG
78%
16%
6%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BFA
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
BFA
0 - 1
GAB
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BDI
1 - 1
GAB
24%
25%
52%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
MLI
24%
26%
50%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 1
GAB
7%
12%
81%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GAB
3 - 0
SSD
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |