Morocco vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NGA
4 - 3
MAR
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
UGA
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
BFA
1 - 1
MAR
29%
29%
43%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
0 - 0
MAR
23%
28%
49%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSA
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
1 - 1
LBY
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
MTN
2 - 4
GAB
13%
19%
69%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
COD
0 - 1
GAB
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 0
BDI
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
ZIM
2 - 0
GAB
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |