Morocco vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 0
MWI
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
74%
18%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
COL
2 - 0
MAR
62%
24%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
MLI
1 - 0
MAR
30%
31%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
USA
0 - 1
MAR
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
5 - 0
GAB
75%
17%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GAB
4 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
ALG
0 - 2
GAB
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2006 |
CHA
6 - 7
GAB
13%
19%
68%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
EQG
4 - 2
GAB
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |