Morocco vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
63%
24%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
TOG
69%
21%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CIV
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAN
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
JOR
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
FIN
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 1
CRO
16%
23%
61%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ISL
3 - 2
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
1 - 1
XXK
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
FIN
91%
7%
2%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |