African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 4-2
Morocco vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
NED
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 0
BFA
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2017 |
TUN
1 - 0
EGY
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
LBY
80%
14%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 0
YEM
81%
14%
5%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
EGY
3 - 0
TOG
79%
15%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |