Morocco vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
17%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
TOG
69%
21%
10%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
CIV
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
4 - 0
CAN
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
JOR
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 0
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CPV
0 - 2
BFA
52%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
BFA
1 - 1
RSA
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BFA
2 - 1
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
UZB
1 - 0
BFA
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
COM
0 - 1
BFA
7%
16%
78%
|
67 | 15 | 52 | 0 |