Morocco vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAN
3 - 1
MAR
18%
27%
54%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 1
BFA
29%
27%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
BFA
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BFA
4 - 0
NIG
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 0
BFA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |