Morocco vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1993 |
MAR
3 - 0
MLI
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
SEN
1 - 3
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1993 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
MAR
1 - 0
SEN
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALG
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1993 |
NGA
4 - 1
ALG
47%
27%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1993 |
ALG
1 - 1
GUI
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1993 |
ALG
1 - 1
CIV
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
ALG
2 - 1
GHA
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |