Morocco vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1991 |
MAR
3 - 0
MLI
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
MAR
0 - 0
SEN
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 0
MAR
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1990 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
ALG
2 - 1
TUN
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1991 |
SEN
1 - 3
ALG
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1991 |
ALG
5 - 6
CMR
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1990 |
ALG
1 - 1
SWE
20%
29%
51%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |