African WC Qual. Third Round Final
Global 5-2
Morocco vs The Democratic Republic Of Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
COD
1 - 1
MAR
15%
24%
60%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
EGY
2 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
MWI
84%
13%
3%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
GAB
2 - 2
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
COM
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
COD
1 - 1
MAR
15%
24%
60%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2022 |
BHR
1 - 0
COD
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
COD
2 - 0
BEN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
TAN
0 - 3
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
COD
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |