Morocco vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
BFA
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEN
75%
16%
8%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
TUN
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
TAN
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
NIG
1 - 2
MAR
8%
20%
72%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
CTA
0 - 0
NIG
17%
20%
62%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
NIG
1 - 1
ZIM
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
NIG
4 - 3
GAB
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
ERI
0 - 1
NIG
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2025 |
ERI
0 - 0
NIG
10%
16%
74%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |