Morocco vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.3%
5.5%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BFA
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BEN
73%
18%
10%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
RSA
0 - 1
MAR
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIV
45%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
NAM
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
NIG
1 - 1
EGY
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SWZ
1 - 2
NIG
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
14%
22%
65%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
TUN
1 - 0
NIG
79%
16%
5%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EGY
6 - 0
NIG
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |