Morocco vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SDN
0 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 0
MTN
73%
19%
8%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CIV
0 - 2
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
KOR
1 - 3
MAR
58%
24%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
NAM
1 - 1
ZAM
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2018 |
UGA
0 - 1
NAM
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CIV
0 - 1
NAM
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAM
3 - 1
ZIM
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAM
2 - 0
COM
74%
18%
8%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | 0 |