Morocco vs Namibia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
78%
17%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOZ
77%
17%
7%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MAR
15%
27%
58%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Namibia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
RWA
2 - 2
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
0 - 0
LBR
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NAM
1 - 0
KEN
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
NGA
1 - 0
NAM
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
MOZ
0 - 0
NAM
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |