Morocco vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
EGY
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
EGY
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
CMR
1 - 0
MAR
51%
27%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
NED
13%
21%
66%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
TUN
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 1
MTN
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MTN
2 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 0
GAM
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GAM
0 - 0
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MLI
2 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |