Morocco vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
URU
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
CGO
71%
20%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
ZIM
68%
20%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
RWA
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 1
BEN
72%
19%
9%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
MLI
2 - 2
LBY
60%
23%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBY
67%
22%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
RWA
3 - 0
LBY
23%
28%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
LBY
0 - 0
GHA
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |