Morocco vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.5%
13.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1961 |
DDR
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
72 | 36 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
YUG
3 - 2
MAR
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
MAR
2 - 3
DDR
80%
11%
9%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1960 |
MAR
0 - 5
YUG
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
LBN
6 - 3
JOR
52%
20%
29%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1957 |
LBN
1 - 1
KSA
46%
21%
34%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1956 |
LBN
1 - 4
HUN
16%
17%
67%
|
57 | 92 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
LBN
2 - 3
BGR
51%
19%
30%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1953 |
SYR
0 - 0
LBN
56%
20%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |