Morocco vs Gambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAN
3 - 1
MAR
18%
27%
54%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
RSA
44%
26%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CPV
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
0 - 0
MAR
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
59%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
GAM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 0
MTN
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
GAM
0 - 2
MTN
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 1
GAM
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |