Morocco vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
14.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
16.1%
3-0
18.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
21.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.2%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
<0%
0
6.3%
1.1%
Win probability
0.2
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CIV
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
RSA
2 - 1
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
CPV
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | -1 |