Morocco vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
10.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
TOG
70%
21%
10%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CMR
0 - 0
MAR
46%
28%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ANG
0 - 2
MAR
29%
29%
42%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
GAB
67%
21%
12%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
CZE
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
SDN
2 - 0
CGO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
2 - 0
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 1
CGO
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
CGO
1 - 0
SDN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |