Morocco vs Canada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 1
JOR
56%
25%
19%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GAB
0 - 0
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
STP
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 42 | 41 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
MAR
38%
29%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
LBY
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
4 - 0
MTN
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
SLV
58%
25%
18%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
HND
2 - 1
CAN
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 1
UZB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
AZE
61%
24%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |