Malta vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
29.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
TUN
0 - 0
MLT
62%
18%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
TUN
0 - 3
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 31 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 1
TUN
81%
11%
8%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
TUN
1 - 2
ARG
43%
23%
33%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
POL
6 - 1
TUN
73%
14%
13%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
7 - 0
TUN
82%
11%
7%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |