Malta vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 2
ISR
9%
19%
71%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
LVA
2 - 0
MLT
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 1
GEO
18%
23%
59%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
MLT
1 - 3
CRO
12%
22%
66%
|
53 | 93 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
MLT
2 - 1
CEU
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 10 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
HUN
5 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
3%
|
30 | 87 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LIE
0 - 1
SCO
9%
22%
69%
|
30 | 89 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
6 - 0
LIE
85%
12%
3%
|
30 | 99 | 69 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
LTU
0 - 0
LIE
77%
16%
7%
|
29 | 80 | 51 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
LIE
1 - 2
SUI
10%
20%
69%
|
30 | 91 | 61 | -1 |