Malta vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.1%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.5%
14%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
81.9%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
18.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.3%
0-3
14.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MLT
2 - 1
FRO
36%
25%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
MLT
1 - 1
FRO
31%
25%
45%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
MLT
0 - 5
XXK
6%
12%
82%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
AZE
1 - 1
MLT
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
XXK
3 - 1
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 0
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CRO
3 - 2
ESP
22%
23%
55%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 3
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 4
ESP
10%
19%
71%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |