ASEAN Championship Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Malaysia vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
72%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 1
SGP
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
VIE
3 - 0
MAS
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
MAS
5 - 0
LAO
87%
11%
3%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MMR
0 - 1
MAS
11%
18%
71%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
MAS
3 - 0
MDV
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
THA
3 - 1
KHM
87%
10%
3%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
IDN
1 - 1
THA
17%
19%
64%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
THA
4 - 0
PHL
83%
13%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2022 |
BRN
0 - 5
THA
2%
9%
89%
|
72 | 22 | 50 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
THA
0 - 1
TWN
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |