ASEAN Championship Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Malaysia vs Thailand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 0
IDN
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
LAO
1 - 4
MAS
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 3
SGP
41%
25%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MAS
1 - 1
HKG
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 0
SGP
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
THA
3 - 1
VIE
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
MMR
0 - 4
THA
4%
11%
85%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
THA
2 - 1
PHL
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
THA
5 - 0
55%
22%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
OMA
2 - 0
THA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |