Malaysia vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
MAS
1 - 1
AFG
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
SGP
0 - 0
MAS
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
IDN
3 - 0
MAS
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FIJ
1 - 1
MAS
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
1 - 2
MAS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
45 | 88 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 0
MAS
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
0 - 0
PNG
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 1
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 8
PNG
18%
22%
61%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |