Malaysia vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaysia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
MAS
2 - 0
SGP
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SGP
2 - 2
MAS
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 0
PHL
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAS
6 - 0
LKA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
PHL
1 - 1
MAS
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SGP
2 - 0
HKG
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
HKG
1 - 2
VIE
36%
24%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
HKG
1 - 0
SGP
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
HKG
5 - 1
TWN
76%
14%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
HKG
0 - 5
KSA
15%
24%
61%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |