Macedonia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BIH
2 - 2
MKD
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
SRB
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
ISR
1 - 0
MKD
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MKD
2 - 0
CRO
14%
24%
62%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
MKD
3 - 0
AND
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
POL
0 - 3
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 67 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
POL
2 - 0
CZE
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
FIN
0 - 1
POL
29%
25%
46%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BIH
0 - 1
POL
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |