Macedonia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 2
MKD
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
MKD
2 - 3
ISR
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
ENG
2 - 2
MKD
92%
7%
1%
|
74 | 98 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
MKD
1 - 2
TUR
28%
27%
44%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
0 - 0
POL
48%
25%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
POL
2 - 0
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
POL
0 - 1
LVA
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
SMR
0 - 2
POL
1%
10%
88%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |