Macedonia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 0
MKD
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
MKD
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 94 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
LUX
2 - 1
MKD
11%
21%
67%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MKD
0 - 0
ALB
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MKD
1 - 1
SVK
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
BLR
1 - 1
LTU
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
EST
1 - 0
LTU
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
LVA
5 - 0
LTU
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 0
RUS
17%
25%
59%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
RUS
2 - 0
LTU
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |