Macedonia vs Liechtenstein analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.2%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.4%
4-0
13%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
15.6%
3-0
16.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.1%
1.7%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 1
POR
9%
20%
72%
|
74 | 95 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 2
SVK
30%
26%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
MKD
0 - 3
POL
18%
22%
60%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
CRO
2 - 2
MKD
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
MKD
2 - 3
ISR
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
LIE
1 - 0
KSA
4%
14%
82%
|
14 | 88 | 74 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
SVK
4 - 0
LIE
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 85 | 71 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
LIE
0 - 2
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
14 | 97 | 83 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
TUR
5 - 0
LIE
97%
3%
1%
|
14 | 89 | 75 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
LIE
1 - 1
MKD
8%
17%
75%
|
14 | 75 | 61 | 0 |