Macedonia vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 0
NOR
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
NED
4 - 0
MKD
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
MKD
1 - 1
MDA
62%
23%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MNE
2 - 1
MKD
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 0
MKD
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 2
NED
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 98 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SCO
2 - 1
ISL
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ISL
1 - 2
FRO
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
ISL
2 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
81 | 27 | 54 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MLT
0 - 1
ISL
16%
22%
62%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |